CN-121981574-A - Fuel management strategy deduction method and related device

CN121981574ACN 121981574 ACN121981574 ACN 121981574ACN-121981574-A

Abstract

The invention provides a fuel management strategy deduction method and a related device, and belongs to the technical field of energy management. The method comprises the steps of inputting condition parameters to be simulated into a trained scene generation model to obtain a simulated fuel management scene, wherein the simulated condition parameters comprise at least two of market data, weather data and unit running state data, formulating a decision scheme based on the simulated fuel management scene, and deducing the decision scheme to obtain a scene deduction result. The invention solves the problem that the deduction result is incomplete due to single consideration of only market factors.

Inventors

LI GONGDE
CHEN JUNQIANG
Mei Junshou
Chai shuo
CHEN JIANPING
ZHU JIAJUN
ZHOU HAO

Assignees

西安热工研究院有限公司
华能上海石洞口发电有限责任公司

Dates

Publication Date: 20260505
Application Date: 20260122

Claims (10)

1. A fuel management strategy deduction method, characterized by comprising the steps of: Inputting condition parameters to be simulated into a trained scene generation model to obtain a simulated fuel management scene, wherein the simulated condition parameters comprise at least two of market data, weather data and unit running state data; making a decision scheme based on the simulated fuel management scenario; Deducting the decision scheme to obtain a scene deduction result; The construction method of the scene generation model comprises the following steps: And constructing a scene generation model based on the condition generation countermeasure network, wherein the scene generation model comprises a generator and a discriminator, the generator is used for generating a simulated fuel management scene, the discriminator is used for judging the simulated fuel management scene generated by the generator to obtain a judging result, and the judging result is fed back to the generator.
2. The fuel management policy deduction method according to claim 1, wherein the decision scheme is evaluated to obtain a decision scheme evaluation result before the scenario deduction result is obtained.
3. The fuel management policy deduction method according to claim 1, wherein after obtaining a scene deduction result, an emergency plan is obtained based on the scene deduction result and a decision scheme.
4. The fuel management policy deduction method according to claim 3, wherein the emergency plan includes countermeasure to an emergency event, resource allocation plan, and emergency response flow.
5. The fuel management policy deduction method according to claim 3, wherein after obtaining the emergency plan, the cost-effect evaluation is performed on the emergency plan to obtain a cost-effect evaluation result.
6. The fuel management policy deduction method according to claim 5, wherein after the scene deduction result, the emergency plan and the cost impact evaluation result are obtained, the scene deduction result, the emergency plan and the cost impact evaluation result are displayed.
7. A fuel management strategy deduction system, comprising: the simulation scene generation module is used for inputting the condition parameters to be simulated into the trained scene generation model to obtain a simulated fuel management scene, wherein the simulated condition parameters comprise at least two of market data, weather data and unit running state data; The scheme making module is used for making a decision scheme based on the simulated fuel management scene; the deduction module is used for deducting the decision scheme to obtain a scene deduction result; The construction method of the scene generation model comprises the following steps: And constructing a scene generation model based on the condition generation countermeasure network, wherein the scene generation model comprises a generator and a discriminator, the generator is used for generating a simulated fuel management scene, the discriminator is used for judging the simulated fuel management scene generated by the generator to obtain a judging result, and the judging result is fed back to the generator.
8. The fuel management policy deduction system according to claim 7, wherein the deduction module deducts the decision scheme and evaluates the decision scheme to obtain a decision scheme evaluation result before obtaining a scenario deduction result.
9. An electronic device comprising a memory and a processor, the memory storing a computer program, characterized in that the processor implements the steps of the fuel management strategy deduction method according to any one of claims 1 to 6 when the computer program is executed.
10. A storage medium having stored thereon a computer program, wherein the computer program when executed by a processor implements the steps of the fuel management strategy deduction method according to any one of claims 1 to 6.

Description

Fuel management strategy deduction method and related device Technical Field The invention belongs to the technical field of energy management, and particularly relates to a fuel management strategy deduction method and a related device. Background In the field of energy production, fuel management is a key link for guaranteeing stable energy supply. The supply of fuel is affected by a combination of factors including market factors (e.g., coal price fluctuations, fuel transportation cost changes, etc.), weather factors (e.g., extreme weather induced transportation interruptions, limited fuel production, etc.), and crew conditions (e.g., crew failures, fuel consumption differences under different load demands, etc.). Currently, existing fuel management strategy formulation is based primarily on historical data and analysis of the historical data. However, historical data often has difficulty covering all possible complications, especially sudden extreme events such as sudden increases in coal prices, fuel outages due to extreme weather, and the like. When these emergencies occur, the manager may not make an optimal decision in time due to lack of targeted training and effective emergency plans, so that the problems of interruption of energy supply, great increase of cost and the like are caused. In addition, the existing fuel management strategy deduction method generally only can process the change of a single factor, is difficult to simulate a complex scene of mutual interweaving of a plurality of factors, and cannot fully train the capability of management personnel to cope with complex emergency. For example, patent application document CN115310902a discloses a spent fuel multi-joint transportation simulation deduction method, which can solve the problem that the execution stage is difficult to control due to the insufficient planning consideration, but only considers market data, has single consideration factor, and results in incomplete deduction. Therefore, the deduction method of the fuel management strategy, which can comprehensively consider various factors to generate a vivid complex scene, can effectively train decision-making ability of management personnel and improve risk resistance, has very important practical significance. Disclosure of Invention The invention aims to provide a fuel management strategy deduction method and a related device, which are used for solving the problem that in the prior art, only market factors are considered, and the deduction result is incomplete due to single considered factors. In order to achieve the above purpose, the present invention adopts the following technical scheme: In a first aspect, the present invention provides a fuel management strategy deduction method, including the steps of: Inputting condition parameters to be simulated into a trained scene generation model to obtain a simulated fuel management scene, wherein the simulated condition parameters comprise at least two of market data, weather data and unit running state data; making a decision scheme based on the simulated fuel management scenario; Deducting the decision scheme to obtain a scene deduction result; The construction method of the scene generation model comprises the following steps: Constructing a scene generation model based on a condition generation countermeasure network, wherein the scene generation model comprises a generator and a discriminator, the generator is used for generating a simulated fuel management scene, the discriminator is used for judging the simulated fuel management scene generated by the generator to obtain a judging result, and the judging result is fed back to the generator; The invention further improves the decision scheme, and before the scene deduction result is obtained, the decision scheme is evaluated to obtain the decision scheme evaluation result. The invention is further improved in that after the scene deduction result is obtained, an emergency plan is obtained based on the scene deduction result and the decision scheme. The invention is further improved in that the emergency plan includes countermeasures for emergencies, resource allocation schemes and emergency response flows. The invention further improves the method and the device in that after the emergency plan is obtained, the cost influence evaluation is carried out on the emergency plan, and the cost influence evaluation result is obtained. The invention further improves the scene deduction result, the emergency plan and the cost influence evaluation result, and then displays the scene deduction result, the emergency plan and the cost influence evaluation result. In a second aspect, the present invention provides a fuel management strategy deduction system, comprising: the simulation scene generation module is used for inputting the condition parameters to be simulated into the trained scene generation model to obtain a simulated fuel management scene, wherein the simulated condition p