CN-122022186-A - Inland hydrogen fuel cell power ship technology adaptive popularization method based on tetragonal evolution game

CN122022186ACN 122022186 ACN122022186 ACN 122022186ACN-122022186-A

Abstract

The invention relates to the technical field of green conversion of inland navigation, in particular to an adaptive popularization method of inland hydrogen fuel cell power ship technology based on tetragonal evolution game, which comprises the steps of taking government, ports, shipping enterprises and the public as core benefit main bodies in inland hydrogen power ship popularization, and defining a benefit selection set of each main body; the method comprises the steps of building a main body profit function based on a square evolution game, deriving a duplication dynamic equation of a core profit main body based on the main body profit function, building a square evolution game system dynamics model, setting a first media exposure threshold and a second media exposure threshold, building a government regulation intensity regulation mechanism, building a public feedback layering response mechanism according to public whistle blowing intensity, and realizing the adaptive popularization of the inland hydrogen fuel cell power ship technology by government supervision gradient exit when the profit of the core profit main body reaches an ideal equilibrium state. The invention can coordinate the benefits and relieve the popularization resistance of inland river hydrogen energy power ships.

Inventors

WANG ZHE
LUO YU
HAN FENGLI
JI YULONG

Assignees

大连海事大学

Dates

Publication Date: 20260512
Application Date: 20260213

Claims (8)

1. The method for adaptively promoting the technology of the inland hydrogen fuel cell power ship based on the square evolution game is characterized by comprising the following steps of: the method takes government, ports, shipping enterprises and the public as core benefit main bodies in the popularization of inland river hydrogen energy power ships, and the income selection set of each main body is defined; Constructing a main body profit function based on square evolution game; Deducing a duplication dynamic equation of a core benefit main body based on the main body income function, and constructing a four-way evolution game system dynamics model; setting a first media exposure threshold and a second media exposure threshold, and establishing a government regulation intensity regulation mechanism; constructing a public feedback layering response mechanism according to the public whistle blowing intensity, and differentially calculating response benefits; When the income of the core benefit main body reaches an ideal equilibrium state, government supervision gradient exits, so that the technical adaptability popularization of inland hydrogen fuel cell power ships is realized.
2. The method for adaptively promoting technology of a inland hydrogen fuel cell powered ship based on square evolution game according to claim 1, wherein the defining the income selection set of each subject specifically comprises: Government benefits include positive and negative regulation, port benefits include hydrogen energy infrastructure retrofit and non-retrofit, shipping enterprise benefits include the use of inland hydrogen energy powered vessels and non-use, and public benefits include whistle and silence.
3. The method for adaptively promoting the technology of the inland hydrogen fuel cell powered ship based on the square evolution game according to claim 1, wherein the constructing of the main body benefit function based on the square evolution game specifically comprises the following steps: The profit function covers initial profit, cost expenditure, subsidy profit, punishment cost, reputation influencing profit and neighbor effect associated cost; will govern profit function Expressed as: Wherein, the The method is used for the initial subsidy of the government, The total expense for various subsidies of the government is provided, For governmental punishment revenue for the offending agent, For the purpose of environmental treatment and cost improvement, Processing cost for neighbor-avoidance effect customs; By harbour profit function Expressed as: Wherein, the For the initial operational benefit of the port, The cost of the modification of the hydrogen energy infrastructure is reduced, In order to obtain the benefit of selling hydrogen, For the service cost of the hydrogen energy facilities, The method is a patch for the government obtained in ports, The cost is penalized for port violations, Influencing the return for the reputation; Will shipping enterprise revenue function Expressed as: Wherein, the For the initial operational revenue of the shipping enterprise, The purchase/reconstruction cost for the hydrogen energy power ship, The cost of purchasing the hydrogen fuel is high, The government patch obtained by the shipping enterprise is supplemented, The cost is penalized for the violations of the shipping enterprise, Influencing the return for the reputation; the public benefit function is expressed as: Wherein, the Is an economic benefit of the public basis, For the environmental impact loss of hydrogen energy related facilities, The whistle action cost is given to the public, The public benefit coefficient of hydrogen energy ships is adopted for shipping enterprises, Representing the probability that the shipping enterprise chooses to adopt inland hydrogen energy power ships; indicating the probability of the public selecting a whistle.
4. The method for adaptively promoting technology of inland hydrogen fuel cell power ships based on square evolution game according to claim 3, wherein the subsidy gains in the gain function comprise hydrogen energy infrastructure construction subsidy, hydrogen fuel purchase subsidy and hydrogen energy power ship construction/reconstruction subsidy; representing the hydrogen energy infrastructure construction subsidy proportion as The hydrogen fuel purchasing patch proportion is expressed as The hydrogen energy power ship construction/reconstruction patch proportion is expressed as ; A double-factor dynamic subsidy adjustment mechanism is introduced, the hydrogen fuel purchasing subsidy proportion is set, and the hydrogen fuel purchasing subsidy proportion is related to the probability that a shipping enterprise adopts a inland river hydrogen energy power ship With harbour improvement progress Introducing co-coefficients The calculation method of the hydrogen fuel purchasing patch proportion is expressed as follows: Add patch upper threshold And a lower threshold 。
5. The method for adaptively popularizing inland hydrogen fuel cell power ship technology based on tetragonal evolution game according to claim 1, wherein the duplication dynamic equation of the core benefit body specifically comprises: the government copy dynamic equation is expressed as: Wherein, the Indicating the probability that the government has selected an active regulation, In order to be able to take time, The benefits of positive regulation are selected for the government, Selecting a negative regulatory benefit for the government; The port replication dynamic equation is expressed as: wherein y is the probability of port selection to reform the hydrogen energy infrastructure, The benefits of retrofitting hydrogen energy infrastructure for ports are selected, Selecting non-modified benefits for ports; The shipping enterprise replication dynamics equation is expressed as: Wherein, the The probability of adopting inland hydrogen energy power ships for shipping enterprises is selected, The benefits of using hydrogen energy powered vessels for the shipping enterprise are selected, Selecting unused benefits for the shipping enterprise; The public replication dynamic equation is expressed as: Wherein, the The probability of selecting a whistle for the public, Indicating the benefit of the public's choice of whistle, The benefits of silence are selected for the public.
6. The method for adaptively promoting technology of inland hydrogen fuel cell powered vessels based on tetragonal evolutionary game according to claim 1, wherein the first media exposure threshold value is as follows To correspond to public awareness A critical value when the media exposure is below the first media exposure threshold At the time, the government selects the probability of positive regulation The adjustment is performed according to the following formula: Wherein, the Indicating a probability of adjustment of government selection aggressive regulation when media exposure is below the first media exposure threshold; the second media exposure threshold To correspond to public awareness The threshold value at which the time is critical, When the media exposure is higher than the second media exposure threshold At the time, the government selects the probability of positive regulation The adjustment is performed according to the following formula: Wherein, the Indicating a probability of adjustment of the government selection aggressive regulation when the media exposure is above the second media exposure threshold.
7. The method for adaptively promoting technology of inland hydrogen fuel cell powered ships based on tetragonal evolution game according to claim 1, wherein the public feedback layered response mechanism is based on probability of public selection of whistle Setting a primary response, a secondary response and a tertiary response; the first order response is indicative of a slightly resisted attitude by the public, when the public chooses a probability of whistling When the threshold value of the first order response is within the range, the government increases the processing cost of the public relations of the neighbor effect by 1.5 times Developing on-line security knowledge popularization, and starting public visit day activities at ports; The secondary response is indicative of a moderately resistant attitude by the public, when the public chooses a probability of whistling When the threshold value of the second-order response is within the range, the government increases the processing cost of the 2 times of neighbor-avoidance effect public relations Developing an off-line investigation communication session, and carrying out safety facility publicizing, and regulating a site selection scheme of the hydrogen energy facility in the port; The three-level response represents the degree of resistance to the public's severity when the public chooses the probability of whistling When the three-level response threshold value is within the three-level response threshold value range, the government is combined with a third party institution to develop security evaluation and to show the result, so that the processing cost of the neighbor effect public relations is increased by 2.5 times Suspending popularization and re-optimizing the facility planning scheme, and introducing public acceptance dynamic weight Influencing the harbour reputation to gain Correlation coefficient with public acceptance dynamic weight Expressed as: Wherein, the Is a maximum reputation earning threshold.
8. The method for adaptively popularizing the technology of the inland hydrogen fuel cell power ship based on square evolution game according to claim 1, wherein the determination condition of the ideal equilibrium state is as follows: Probability of port selective modification of hydrogen energy infrastructure Probability of selecting inland river hydrogen energy power ship for shipping enterprises Probability of public choice whistle And the government selects the probability of positive regulation Converging to 0.

Description

Inland hydrogen fuel cell power ship technology adaptive popularization method based on tetragonal evolution game Technical Field The invention relates to the technical field of inland navigation green transformation, in particular to an adaptive popularization method of inland hydrogen fuel cell power ship technology based on tetragonal evolution game. Background With inland navigation becoming an important component in the transportation field, green low-carbon transformation has become a necessary trend. The hydrogen energy is used as zero-carbon and high-efficiency clean energy, and the hydrogen energy power ship becomes one of the core directions of green transformation of inland navigation by virtue of the advantages of zero emission, strong cruising ability and the like. However, a plurality of bottleneck problems still face in the current inland river hydrogen energy power ship popularization process, and the large-scale application of the ship is severely restricted: (1) The improvement of port hydrogen energy infrastructure (such as a hydrogenation station) has the characteristics of high investment, long period and slow recovery, and shipping enterprises purchase/reform hydrogen energy power ships with high cost pressure, and the two lack of effective benefit synergistic mechanisms, so that unbalance dilemma of 'having a ship and not having hydrogen' (no hydrogenation facility is available after the ship is purchased) or 'having hydrogen and not having a ship' (no hydrogen energy ship is hung after the hydrogenation station is built) easily occurs, thereby causing resource waste; (2) The subsidy mechanism is unreasonable, the existing popularization subsidy is in a static fixed subsidy mode, the existing popularization subsidy cannot adapt to dynamic changes of the market (such as willingness of shipping enterprises to adopt, port transformation progress and the like), financial resource waste is easily caused by excessive subsidy force, the participation of a market main body cannot be effectively stimulated due to insufficient subsidy, and meanwhile, the conflict of benefits of all parties is aggravated due to unbalanced subsidy distribution; (3) Meanwhile, overexposure of the medium to the popularization of the hydrogen energy power ship can strengthen government supervision dependence, inhibit autonomous participation enthusiasm of market main bodies, and underexposure can not effectively guide public to correctly recognize, and the prior art lacks a targeted regulation and control mechanism; (4) The government supervision and exit are not clear, the government is taken as a popularization master, the implementation strength of regulation income (active supervision, policy guidance and the like) and the exit opportunity lack scientific basis, the long-term overserving can increase administrative cost, and the early exit can lead to disordered market order and can not guarantee the continuous promotion of popularization work. The prior art focuses on the technical development (such as fuel cell performance optimization, ship power system design and the like) or economic feasibility analysis of a single main body of a hydrogen energy power ship, few researches related to popularization are limited to government and shipping enterprises or government and port two-party games, complex benefit entanglement and interaction relations among government, ports, shipping enterprises and public four parties are not fully considered, popularization differences in different areas of a inland river are not considered, and core problems of multiparty cooperation, patch adaptation, resistance relief and the like in the popularization process are difficult to systematically solve, so that the popularization progress of the inland hydrogen energy power ship is slow, and urgent requirements of green conversion of inland shipping cannot be met. Therefore, there is a need for a inland hydrogen energy power ship popularization and optimization method capable of comprehensively coordinating the interests of multiple parties, adapting to market dynamic changes and effectively relieving popularization resistance, and providing scientific support for large-scale application of the inland hydrogen energy power ship. Disclosure of Invention According to the technical problems, the technical adaptability popularization method of the inland hydrogen fuel cell power ship based on the square evolution game is provided. The invention takes government, port, shipping enterprises and public as core benefit bodies, builds a square evolution game model and a benefit function, and promotes square benefits to be converged towards government negative regulation, port improvement hydrogen energy infrastructure and shipping enterprises to adopt ideal equilibrium states of inland hydrogen energy power ships and public silencing by combining investigation data and simulation iteration optimization parameters through five key optimizatio